Model Simulation For 2022 World Series: Astros vs. Phillies

After 10,000 simulations of each game in this series, here are the results

Dan Karpuc - Oct 25, 2022, 2:37pm EDT

Two MLB teams remain after a grueling regular season and postseason as the Houston Astros will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in the 2022 World Series. BetQL has you covered with full coverage all the way through with best bets, sharp picks, public data, trends, articles and much more for every game. Our editors made their picks already, but you should scroll down to see our model’s projections. We simulated every game in this series 10,000 times and these are the results.

WORLD SERIES WINNER

The model is giving the Astros a 62.7% chance to win the series while the Phillies have a 37.3% chance. Due to those projections, there currently isn’t a World Series bet that has value across the industry, but if you have to absolutely bet this future, we recommend getting -185 odds on the Astros at DraftKings.

You can compare live World Series odds by clicking the table below.

WORLD SERIES LENGTH

This is how we can take a shot on some higher-upside bets. The model is giving the series a 31.7% chance to go six games, 30.7% chance to go seven games, 24.8% chance to go five games and 12.7% chance to go four games.

The exact outcome with the most actionable odds: Houston to win 4-2. We’re giving that a 20.6% chance to occur and you can get that at +400 at BetMGM (20% implied odds). This doesn’t present a lot of value, but it’s still our model’s recommended Exact Series Score wager. Bet this risk-free at BetMGM now!