MLB Picks Of The Day

MLB Betting Picks For Today's Games: April 25

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MLB Moneyline Pick Of The Day

Nationals ML vs. Dodgers (+172, FanDuel)

The Dodgers have been extremely overrated in the market relative to how they have actually played, and I think we are getting some good value here at this price on the Nationals today.

L.A. has RHP Yoshinobo Yamamoto on the mound, and he has not been everything that they had hoped he would be up to this point. That isn't to say that he has been bad, as he owns a 2.68 xFIP, but his 4.07 xERA also says that he has been hovering around being average to this point. Believe it or not, Washington has been very good against right-handed pitching to this point, owning a 107 wRC+ against them as a lineup. That is the ninth-highest in baseball to this point, so they are not to be underestimated here.

On the other side, LHP MacKenzie Gore is on the hill for the Nats. While the Dodgers have crushed righties, they have not done the same in their matchups with left-handers to this point. Their 106 wRC+ is outside of the top-10 in MLB, whereas their massive 130 wRC+ vs. righties is second-best. Gore owns a 3.44 xERA and 2.96 xFIP, both numbers pointing to him being one of the elite arms so far this year.

For +172, I think we are getting some serious value here on the Nationals at home, and I'd play this for a half unit.

Nationals F5 ML vs. Dodgers (+148, FanDuel)

I'm also going to put a half unit on the Nats F5 ML, so I'm splitting a full unit on this game. Everything that I just mentioned above goes into this wager, and this way I am not as fully exposed to the Washington bullpen.

MLB Over/Under Picks Of The Day

Red Sox at Guardians Under 7.5 (-115, BetMGM)

This one is mostly a bet on the weather causing some significant problems for hitters today at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Temperatures are supposed to be below 50 degrees, which is extremely cold to be playing baseball in, and always helps the pitchers. Not only that, but winds are projected to be blowing in at 10-12 mph, which is very important when betting a total and has a lot of impact on balls in the air.

I think Triston McKenzie is injured, as he has been just awful so far in 2024. Normally with him on the mound, I'd be betting the over here, but that weather makes a massive difference. If he gets hit hard early, I'd look to bet a live under, as the Guardian bullpen should be able to shut down Boston for the most part. Chase Anderson has been a pretty average pitcher to this point, but he has shown improvements from years past with his 3.57 xERA.

Bet the under due to the weather being about as bad as it can be for offense.

MLB Run Line Pick Of The Day

Padres F5 -0.5 at Rockies (+100, Caesars)

I'm taking San Diego to be leading through five innings against Colorado this afternoon for even money. This has a lot to do with fading RHP Dakota Hudson, who is a below-average pitcher who has been quite bad so far in 2024. He owns a 4.89 xERA and 5.05 xFIP, indicating that he is ripe to get lit up by this Padres lineup that owns a 114 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitching.

On the other side, RHP Randy Vasquez gets a Rockies lineup that has been dreadful against righties, owning a 79 wRC+. He only has one start, which was a good outing against the Blue Jays where he went five innings and allowed just a single run.

Yankees F5 -0.5 vs. Athletics (-139, BetRivers)

I'm also going to take the Yankees to be leading after the first five innings of their game against the Oakland Athletics. This price is a bit juicy for a bet like this, but I think it is warranted he considering the matchup.

LHP Nestor Cortes seems to be rounding back into form after a down season in 2023, owning a 2.74 xERA and 3.69 xFIP through five starts of 2024. Oakland's offense has been as we have expected them to be, which is bad. They have been slightly better against lefties, but not by that much and not enough for me to reconsider this wager.

This is also a fade of LHP Alex Wood, who seems to have fallen off a cliff this season with how poorly he has pitched on the mound. He owns a 6.45 xERA and 5.42 xFIP, both numbers pointing to him being truly bad up there on the hill. The Yankees have the bats that are necessary to take him deep and put up some serious runs.

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Discover Valuable MLB Picks with BetQL

Looking for MLB expert picks for the 2023 MLB season? Look no further! At BetQL, our team of MLB experts is dedicated to providing you with the most accurate and insightful MLB betting picks. With the help of our cutting-edge BetQL tools and their own extensive research, our experts identify the best MLB value plays every day. Get ready to elevate your MLB betting experience with our comprehensive range of expert picks, including moneyline bets, run line bets, over/under (total) bets, and player props.

MLB Picks: Moneyline Bets

When it comes to MLB betting, moneyline bets are a fan favorite. It's a straightforward bet where you simply choose the team you believe will win the game outright. In MLB moneyline betting, the favorite is represented by a negative number (e.g., -200), indicating the amount you need to bet to win $100. On the other hand, the underdog is represented by a positive number (e.g., +500), indicating the potential winnings on a $100 bet. Our MLB experts utilize BetQL's MLB model to provide you with well-informed MLB moneyline bets that maximize your chances of success.

MLB Picks: Run Line Bets

Betting against the spread, also known as the Run Line (RL), is a highly popular MLB betting strategy. In MLB run line betting, the favored team is listed with a negative number (e.g., -1.5), indicating the number of runs they need to win by. The underdogs are listed with a positive number (e.g., +1.5), which means they can either lose by a run or win the game outright for your run line bet to be successful. Unlike other sports, MLB games cannot end in a tie, eliminating the possibility of a "push." Rely on our MLB experts to guide you with their carefully crafted run line bets.

MLB Picks: Over/Under (Total) Bets

If you enjoy predicting the total number of runs scored in a game, then over/under (total) bets are perfect for you. In MLB, game totals usually range from six to 13 runs. A "push" occurs when the total points scored in the game exactly matches the specified total. You can also explore MLB team total betting, which focuses on predicting the total points scored by a specific team. Additionally, delve into MLB first five innings (F5) totals or MLB first half over/unders, which predict the total points scored in the first five innings of a game. To enhance your chances of success, our experts have developed value models specifically designed to identify MLB games with the most value for spread bets, moneyline bets and totals.

MLB Picks: Betting the First 5 Innings

For those seeking early-game action, MLB first-five betting is ideal. You can place moneyline bets or run line bets specifically for the first five innings of a game. Typically, first five innings moneyline bets offer lower odds compared to full-game moneylines. This type of betting is popular among bettors targeting heavily favored teams in matchups. Don't underestimate underdogs, especially home teams that tend to perform well in front of their fans before talent takes hold in the later innings. Our experts provide valuable insights to help you make informed decisions for MLB first five innings bets.

MLB Picks: Player Props

Looking for a more individualized betting experience? Player props allow you to wager on the performance of specific players in an MLB game. Whether it's hitting home runs, getting RBIs, stealing bases, or achieving other milestones, player props offer a wide variety of betting options. You can also bet on pitchers, such as predicting their wins, strikeouts, runs conceded, and more. Every game offers a myriad of player prop bets, so explore the options available at your favorite bookmaker.

Remember to visit us daily to discover new MLB picks that will help you beat the books. Evaluate the options and decide for yourself whether they're worth a play. With our MLB expert picks, you'll stay ahead of the game and make well-informed decisions for MLB betting.