St. Louis Cardinals vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the St. Louis Cardinals are set to lock horns in what promises to be an exciting game. Both teams have a similar home-away record this season, with the Pirates maintaining an 11-11 record at home, and the Cardinals being 10-12 on the road. AccuScore's Simulation Supercomputer has generated 10,000 game simulations, with each team having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning. The starting pitchers also have a low chance of having a quality start, which will make this match-up interesting to watch.

The Pirates' starting pitcher Rich Hill has a 31% chance of producing a quality start, and if he does, his team has a 79% chance of winning. Hill's simulated strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.3, and he has a 16% chance of delivering a 5-to-1 K/BB ratio. The Pirates have won 57% of the games when Hill achieves this feat. On the other hand, Miles Mikolas, the Cardinals' starting pitcher, also has a low chance of producing a quality start with only a 32% probability. However, if he does get one, the Cardinals have a significantly higher chance (78%) of clinching the game.

Finally, both teams have standout batters that are most likely to lead their respective teams to victory. Jack Suwinski had an average of 2.53 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and held 44% chances of having a big game with three or more hits, walks, RBI. For Paul Goldschmidt for the St. Louis Cardinals, AccuScore found that he had an average of 2.76 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and given his form this season has almost half (49%) chance of having a big game with three or more hits, walks, RBI.

This will be a close game, and both teams have their chance of winning. To get the most comprehensive analysis of the game and to find out how our model is picking the game, make sure you subscribe to BetQL.