Washington Nationals vsPhiladelphia Phillies Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are 23-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 15-23 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Bailey Falter is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Joan Adon. Bailey Falter has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joan Adon has a 23% chance of a QS. If Bailey Falter has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 69%. In Joan Adon quality starts the Nationals win 72%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 3.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Josh Bell who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 51% chance of winning.