Milwaukee Brewers vsCincinnati Reds Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds will host the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday night at Great American Ball Park, and the fans are in for a treat. Both teams have given us some exciting games this season, and this one promises to be no different. According to AccuScore's Simulation Supercomputer, the Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning this game. The Reds are coming into this game with a 12-12 home record while the Brewers are 13-13 on the road. The betting lines also favor the Reds, making them solid favorites going into the game.
Both Ben Lively (p) and Adrian Houser are set to start, and unfortunately for either team, they don't have a high chance of having a quality start. According to AccuScore's simulations, Lively has a 32% chance of throwing a quality start, while Houser only has a 30% chance. However, if Lively manages to pitch a quality start, then the Reds have a 78% chance of winning. On the other hand, if Houser pitches a quality start, then the Brewers have a 68% chance of winning. It seems like it's going to be a battle of average starters for both teams.
Based on AccuScore's simulations data, Jake Fraley is the most productive batter for Cincinnati Reds in this matchup. Fraley had an average of 2.81 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and has a 48% chance of having a big game with three or more Hits, Walks, RBI. If he happens to have that big game on Friday night, then the Reds have an impressive 71% chance of winning this game. For Milwaukee Brewers, Javier Guerra takes that spot as their most productive batter with an average of 2.37 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and has a 39% chance of having a big game with three or more Hits, Walks, RBI. If Guerra has a big game, then the Brewers have a 57% chance of winning.
Overall, according to BetQL's AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer, the Cincinnati Reds are coming into this game as the favorites. However, the data suggests that it could turn into anybody's game depending on how both teams' starters perform and how their most productive batters step up. To find out how our model is picking the game, make sure to subscribe to BetQL and get access to our expert picks and