Philadelphia Phillies vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to take on the Washington Nationals in what is expected to be an exciting matchup between two struggling teams. According to AccuScore, the Phillies are heavily favored to win with a better than 55% chance of winning, thanks in part to their superior record on the road this season. Starting pitcher Ranger Suarez is projected to have a strong outing, with a 50% chance of a Quality Start and a 15% chance of a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. If he does indeed have a quality start, the Phillies are expected to win by 82%. However, Trevor Williams of the Nationals should not be counted out, as he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and has led his team to victory in 62% of simulations where he has had a quality start.
When it comes to the most productive batter for each team, Keibert Ruiz stands out for the Washington Nationals with an average of 2.25 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI. If he does have a big game, the Nationals have a solid chance of pulling off an upset victory. For the Philadelphia Phillies, Bryce Harper takes the top spot with an average of 2.25 hits+walks+RBI per simulation and also has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI. Notably, if Harper does have a big game, the Phillies are predicted to win by an impressive margin of 75%.
Overall, it seems that the Philadelphia Phillies should march into Nationals Park and come away with the win based on their superior performance on the road this season and the strength of their starting pitcher and key batter. However, anything can happen in baseball and Trevor Williams and Keibert Ruiz could certainly surprise everyone with strong performances. To get a more detailed prediction on how this matchup will play out, be sure to subscribe to BetQL and see how our model is picking the game.