Los Angeles Dodgers vs

San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are 37-32 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 52-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Sean Manaea has a 42% chance of a QS and Andrew Heaney a 39% chance. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Padres has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 52%. If Andrew Heaney has a quality start the Dodgers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 63% chance of winning.