Boston Red Sox vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-30 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 30-29 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox' starter Josh Winckowski is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates' starter JT Brubaker. Josh Winckowski has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while JT Brubaker has a 37% chance of a QS. If Josh Winckowski has a quality start the Red Sox has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 62%. In JT Brubaker quality starts the Pirates win 70%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning.