Miami Marlins vs

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-28 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 31-44 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers' starter Eric Lauer is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Braxton Garrett. Eric Lauer has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Braxton Garrett has a 39% chance of a QS. If Eric Lauer has a quality start the Brewers has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 71%. In Braxton Garrett quality starts the Marlins win 55%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Willy Adames who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Charles Leblanc who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 46% chance of winning.