Los Angeles Angels vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Los Angeles Angels are 16-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 20-17 at home. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels' starter Mike Lorenzen is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Jordan Lyles. Mike Lorenzen has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jordan Lyles has a 41% chance of a QS. If Mike Lorenzen has a quality start the Angels has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 59%. In Jordan Lyles quality starts the Orioles win 67%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Austin Hays who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 69% chance of winning.